Matthew Yglesias

@mattyglesias ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 15, 2023

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Sun Nov 13 13:03:35 +0000 2022

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Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

The main implication they draw from the paper is that even a popular president could face significant midterm backlash — if he is seen as advancing controversial policy change on multiple fronts, many voters will still opt for a check. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 13, 2022 Hibernated

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Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

The paper of the midterms is Bafumi, Erickson, and Wleizen (2009) which shows that contrary to what you might think the predictable backlash against the president’s party in the midterms cannot be explained as a function of the president’s popularity. https://t.co/oQOctFNeSK https://t.co/24wAo9txk2 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 13, 2022 Hibernated

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Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias

What we saw in 2022 was a stranger corner case — even a fairly unpopular president can avoid backlash if his opponents score controversial policy wins (Dobbs) and are clearly threatening alarming changes (election denialism). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 13, 2022 Hibernated