Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 6, 2022

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Tue Nov 08 02:21:03 +0000 2022

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Of note, @FiveThirtyEight's House forecast - which was closer to the result than most in 2020 - is a little more bearish on GOP gains (+17) than most prognosticators' midpoints. Why is that significant? (1/3) https://t.co/iroquHcBIm — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 8, 2022

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

FINAL @CookPolitical House ratings: 212 seats at least Lean R, 187 seats at least Lean D, 36 Toss Ups. Full analysis: https://t.co/nGRUaCMoef https://t.co/2Oyo2hdV1W — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 7, 2022

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

There's a tendency for forecasters to get caught up in the doom/momentum narrative that takes hold late in a cycle when one party is ahead, and turn predicting gains into an arms race. But @FiveThirtyEight's empirical model shows virtually no movement either way since 10/21. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 8, 2022