Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 6, 2022

Created

Fri Nov 04 16:03:15 +0000 2022

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I've fully expected criticism for having 35 House races in Toss Up at @CookPolitical, and empathize to some extent. But guess what? There are just a lot of really close races this year - with higher uncertainty than past cycles as the reliability of polling has declined. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 4, 2022

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The inverse relationship between polling response rates/reliability and partisan wishcasting based on "vibes" isn't a perfect correlation, but feels especially strong this year. At least, that's the vibe I'm getting. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 4, 2022

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I believe it's healthy to convey that uncertainty. That said, I also don't believe all our Toss Ups are alike. At some point before Tuesday I'll publish my best (semi-educated) guesses on where each of these Toss Ups will land, just as I did in 2018. So, stay tuned. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 4, 2022