Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict ↗

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Last Checked July 22, 2022

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Thu May 19 17:19:26 +0000 2022

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

If NY courts adopt the special master's map, @CookPolitical would score it as a loss of one GOP seat vs. the current map. That's about half a seat better for Ds than what I expected from a court map, but three seats worse for Ds than the previously enacted gerrymander. https://t.co/2IDWsOdN2H — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 19, 2022

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

If you estimate this out, it points to a final margin of <1k votes either way. Perhaps Oz slightly more likely to finish ahead. But also maybe ten times closer than the 0.5% automatic recount threshold. #PASEN — PolitiTweet.org

PA update: Oz leads McCormick by 1,241 votes (0.1%). It is inevitable that this will land in mandatory recount terr… https://t.co/t5O6YrKF8u

Posted May 19, 2022

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Redistricting update: by my math, if the final states shake out how we expect, 227/435 House seats will have voted for Biden under new lines, up from 224/435 today. And, 212 House seats would be more pro-Biden than the nation as a whole, up from 207 today. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 19, 2022