Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 4, 2022

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Wed Dec 29 17:41:04 +0000 2021

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New Jersey's new map is a perfect illustration. By @CookPolitical PVI (a measure of districts' 16/20 prez performance vs. national result), three seats have gone from R-leaning to D-leaning: #NJ03, #NJ05 and #NJ11. Meanwhile, one seat moves from D-leaning to R-leaning: #NJ07. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 29, 2021

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Thread: which party is "ahead" in redistricting? In my view, it's close to a wash. But the truth is, it depends which metric you use. As @Nate_Cohn has alluded, tracking by district partisanship (slight Dem gain) differs from tracking by seat control (neutral/slight GOP gain). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 29, 2021

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

By district partisanship metrics, that sounds like a great deal for Dems. And it mostly is! However, Dems currently hold *all four* of these seats. That means the new map's most likely practical outcome in 2022 is still a Dem loss of one seat (9D-3R, down from 10D-2R in 2020). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 29, 2021