Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 28, 2021

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Wed Nov 24 00:08:28 +0000 2021

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

We're starting out #IL17 as a Toss Up at @CookPolitical. Why not Lean D? Because Dems gerrymandered it sloppily. With a few minor changes around the edges, they could have drawn it to be Biden +11.6 (left). Instead, they left it at Biden +7.8 (right). https://t.co/NBsVZR1lkM — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 24, 2021

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Btw, there seems to be a prevailing thought on here that it's #MD05 Rep. Steny Hoyer (D) holding back Dems from pursuing a more aggressive map, which isn't the case at all. Dems' obstacle is (at least) one incumbent from the Baltimore area. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 23, 2021

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Keep in mind, the median 2021 legislative swing from the 2020 presidential margin in both NJ & VA (which are more suburban in character than #IL17) was ~12 pts towards Rs. So if anything, Toss Up is being generous to Dems here. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 24, 2021