Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 2, 2021

Created

Mon Oct 04 16:25:15 +0000 2021

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Long story short: I think Youngkin would need to flip Virginia Beach, Chesterfield and Chesapeake back to red, plus hit ~34% in Fairfax, ~42% in Prince William and ~43% in Loudoun to have a chance. #VAGOV — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 4, 2021

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Had a few minutes on a plane, so I built a model of the vote targets Terry McAuliffe (D) or Glenn Youngkin (R) would need to exceed in each locality to win #VAGOV on 11/2. https://t.co/8hx4bn15Lw — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 4, 2021

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@lxeagle17 I don’t put much stock in horse race polls of this race, tbh. If they’re off by the same amount they were in 2020 (who knows!), 43% would be pretty attainable for Youngkin in Loudoun. Do I think he actually gets there? Probably not. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 4, 2021