Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict ↗

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Last Checked July 27, 2021

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Thu Jun 10 23:13:42 +0000 2021

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In order for Dems to be remotely competitive in a new #MT01, it would likely need to include all of Missoula, Bozeman, Butte, Helena and Great Falls (below) - and even then, such a seat would've narrowly voted for Trump. https://t.co/YPGa1GdwWF — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 10, 2021

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

However, there's just one problem for Dems. Because so much of Montana's post-1992 growth has been in the west, Bozeman would now end up *east* of the line if the state were split east/west - splitting up Montana's two biggest Dem vote clusters, leaving both seats red (below). https://t.co/ws31j05EeG — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 10, 2021

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Because Montana employs an independent commission and the tie-breaking member has some Dem ties, there *is* a chance of a map like the one above that makes #MT01 competitive (i.e., a Trump/Bullock '20 district). That said, I still think chances of 2R-0D are greater than 1R-1D. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 10, 2021