Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict ↗

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Last Checked June 23, 2021

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Mon May 10 16:12:02 +0000 2021

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

RT @Redistrict: @SeanTrende A year after VA voted for Barack Obama by 6 pts, it voted for Bob McDonnell by 17 pts. For a variety of reaso… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 10, 2021 Retweet

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@SeanTrende A year after VA voted for Barack Obama by 6 pts, it voted for Bob McDonnell by 17 pts. For a variety of reasons, we’re not going to see a 23 pt swing this year. But I just don’t think we have a good handle on what either party’s turnout looks like in the post-Trump era yet. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 10, 2021

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I’m *not* assuming that NoVa’s anti-Trump moderates are automatically Dem voters in state-level elections. And I think it’s reasonable to assume at least some asymmetrical drop-off in base D turnout w/ Trump out of office. — PolitiTweet.org

@Redistrict Are you assuming relatively low turnout in the NoVa suburbs/exurbs, while the Trump base stays motivated and shows up?

Posted May 10, 2021