Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict ↗

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Last Checked June 21, 2021

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Mon May 03 13:29:51 +0000 2021

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

There is a major off-year difference between districts where attitudinal shifts among college+ whites has been the main driver of Dem vote growth (say, #GA06) and districts where new residents/demographic change has been the main driver (say, #TX06). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 3, 2021

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Here's a preview of what #TX06 could look like next November: by purging increasingly Black precincts in South Arlington from the district, Republicans are likely to boost Trump's '20 margin from +3 to +17 or more. https://t.co/f54Tgz2XYJ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 2, 2021

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In the first category, Dems do ok in off-year/low-turnout scenarios b/c those college+ whites are high-propensity voters. A big part of the reason Dems earned such a low % in #TX06? Its newer, nonwhite residents are really low-propensity. Same dynamic last year in #CA25 special. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 3, 2021