Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 10, 2022

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Thu Oct 22 15:13:05 +0000 2020

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Now, the huge caveat: our swingometer is designed to estimate the impact of uniform demographic swings, which never truly happen. There's strong evidence Biden is winning back plenty of non-college whites in the Upper Midwest, but not so many in the Deep South (FL/GA/TX etc.) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 22, 2020 Hibernated

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Right now, here's what @CookPolitical's swingometer spits out when you plug in the demographic splits from the curr… https://t.co/vDsmNNw81R — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 22, 2020 Hibernated

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

However, the scenario above might also be *underestimating* the potential for nonwhite Dem turnout growth in the Sun Belt. In short, not hard to argue today's polls are closer to a Biden 400+ EV landslide (GA, TX, OH, IA) than Trump winning 270+. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 22, 2020 Hibernated