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Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 23, 2021

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Sat Oct 10 15:20:03 +0000 2020

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Here's why I have a hard time imagining 25k EDay ballots left to count on top of 75k mail/early votes: on 8/31/20, Sumter only had 103k total registered voters. Let's say another 3k registrants before book closing. That'd be 94% turnout! In 2016, Sumter turnout was 83%. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@Redistrict even at 75 you're just not out of the woods on trump cleaning 2/3 of the major party vote. Trump>80 on… https://t.co/vfivIRo…

Posted Oct. 10, 2020 Hibernated

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@Nate_Cohn Again, only if the early/mail over something like a 75k vote threshold. If it's well below that, I certainly wouldn't be drawing conclusions — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 10, 2020 Hibernated

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Reminder of voting preference by method, per new @pewresearch national survey (10k+ RVs): Mail (39%): 69%-27% Biden Early in-person (21%): 55%-40% Biden Election Day (33%): 63%-31% Trump These stories don’t tell us anything about the outcome. https://t.co/m91P0vQRMq — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 10, 2020 Hibernated