Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 3, 2021

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Mon Sep 28 00:12:41 +0000 2020

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

As you might glean, it's not *that* far off from what state polls are showing! The notable exceptions might be: 1) FL, where Trump's gains w/ Hispanics have outpaced his national gains 2) GA, where non-college white voters are less elastic than they are in Upper Midwest — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 28, 2020 Hibernated

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

If you were only to go by September's live-interview national polls (averaging demographic crosstabs, ignoring state polls), here's how that might roughly translate in the Electoral College: https://t.co/TkXkxY9Lxb https://t.co/bfpIOIAbK7 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 28, 2020 Hibernated

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Also, in the above map, I'm assuming every demographic group sees a 5 point turnout bump vs. '16, but being extra-generous to Trump by assuming a 10 point bump in non-college white turnout. Even so: Biden 375, Trump 163. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 28, 2020 Hibernated