Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 10, 2022

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Tue Sep 22 14:28:46 +0000 2020

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@Inalein_19 @marceelias already tried and lost — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 22, 2020 Hibernated

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Why this is a big deal: the current @FiveThirtyEight polls average has Biden +4.5% in PA. But their final 2016 forecast had Clinton +3.7%, and it's not unreasonable that tossed "naked ballots" could cost Biden ~1% of statewide margin, no matter the result.https://t.co/p8nrWtmPac — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 22, 2020 Hibernated

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Have pollsters taken steps to correct education weighting, etc.? Yes. Could polls still systemically be off by a few points in either Biden or Trump's direction? Absolutely. "100k tossed ballots wouldn't matter b/c Biden's up by more than that" just isn't a very sound argument. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 22, 2020 Hibernated