Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 28, 2021

Created

Mon Sep 14 14:55:49 +0000 2020

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

A few reasons why I've long viewed AZ as having unique, huge upside for Biden/Dems: 1) 81% (!) of its vote is metropolitan (PHX, Tucson) 2) large, Trump-skeptical LDS community 3) young, booming Latinx population (w/ very few Cubans) 4) ton of seniors/McCain "Republicans" — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 14, 2020 Hibernated

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Right now, RCP average has Biden up by more in AZ (+5.6) than PA (+4.3), MI (+4.2) and FL (+1.8). Pretty clear that AZ, as we expected, is shaping up as biggest Trump '16 -Biden '20 shift of any of the core battlegrounds. — PolitiTweet.org

OHPI has Biden by 10 in Arizona. Polling in the state has felt borderline counter-cyclical this year: Biden didn't… https://t.co/nQkwwSSWij

Posted Sept. 14, 2020 Hibernated

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Yep. As opposed to MI/PA/WI, where sharp suburban Trump declines can be offset by gains in rural/small town counties, there's almost nothing to offset losing Maricopa. — PolitiTweet.org

@Redistrict I was reading today about Trump plans to tolerate losing Maricopa County by a bit by campaigning hard i… https://t.co/MhQYixwsct

Posted Sept. 14, 2020 Hibernated