Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 16, 2021

Created

Wed Sep 02 22:34:18 +0000 2020

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Overall, Biden's erosion w/ non-college whites is to be expected - they're likely to live in Trump-friendlier news/info environments and many are just starting to tune into the race. I don't think it was ever realistic for Biden to sustain 40%+ in that demo except in a blowout. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 2, 2020 Hibernated

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

However, August polls show Trump continuing to overperform vs. '16 with non-whites, despite his white erosion. Among Blacks, Biden leads 83-9 (vs. 82-8 in June/July and Clinton 83-5 in '16). Among Hispanics, Biden leads 56-31 (vs. 54-29 in June/July and Clinton 61-23 in '16). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 2, 2020 Hibernated

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

But, he shouldn't be comfortable with too much more erosion: as we've said over and over, non-college whites are overrepresented in the battleground (49% vs. 44% nationally in '16) and their continued movement to Trump would widen gap between Electoral College/popular vote. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 2, 2020 Hibernated