Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 10, 2022

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Thu Aug 27 17:32:12 +0000 2020

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

4) Polling suggests Trump's bonus in the Electoral College (relative to the popular vote) is at least as large as it was in '16 (2.9%) or potentially even larger. He could plausibly lose nationally by up to 5 points (!) and still win reelection. https://t.co/IR6Ovxhwdu — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

3) At the moment, Trump is losing non-whites by a bit less than he lost them in '16. Whether this holds, who knows. But the voters Trump needs to improve with to get back in contention - non-college whites - supported him before and tend to live in Trump-friendly info ecosystems. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

5) The asymmetry in modes of voting - Dems preferring mail and Trump voters set on in-person - creates additional and unique uncertainty, including potential for postal chicanery, voter error & rejected absentees that disproportionately hurt Dems. https://t.co/Jra4tGYwHq — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 27, 2020 Hibernated