Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 10, 2022

Created

Thu Aug 27 17:18:50 +0000 2020

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Without wading into the modeling wars - a debate I see as mostly fruitless - guess I'll try to summarize why I think the presidential race is more like "Lean Biden" (60%-75% range) than "Likely/Solid Biden" (90%+ range) as we head into the final night of the RNC... — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

New @FandMPoll Pennsylvania showing Biden ahead 49%-42% also shows extreme divergence on intended voting mode: Democrats: 55%-42% mail/absentee Independents: 58%-29 in person Republicans: 84%-10% in person — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 27, 2020 Hibernated

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

1) Voters have pretty short memories compared to analysts' priors. As more Americans get used to living in a pandemic, there is potential - not necessarily a likelihood, but potential - for the dominance of COVID-19 to ebb as voters' top issue and other issues to rise. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 27, 2020 Hibernated