Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 10, 2022

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Wed Aug 26 19:39:04 +0000 2020

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

By my estimate, in '16 non-college whites made up 50% of the nation's non-voters (vs. 44% of voters), including: 76% in Iowa 74% in Maine 71% in New Hampshire 68% in Ohio 66% in Pennsylvania 64% in Minnesota 63% in Wisconsin 62% in Michigan 54% in North Carolina — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 26, 2020 Hibernated

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

It's clear where Trump sees opportunity to offset erosion in support since '16: amping up turnout among his base - non-college whites. And by my math, non-college whites were a disproportionate share of '16 *non-voters* in all '20 battlegrounds except AZ and TX. https://t.co/1JB3uDPi2l — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 26, 2020 Hibernated

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Of course, there's no guarantee that these white, non-college non-voters would support Trump at nearly the same rate as their peers who voted in '16. But this is precisely why there's no guarantee sky-high turnout will benefit Biden, particularly in the Midwestern battlegrounds. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 26, 2020 Hibernated