Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 10, 2022

Created

Wed Aug 26 15:47:43 +0000 2020

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

It's not about improving his overall numbers. It's about base activation/turnout. By my estimates, in 2016 there were *4.8 million* eligible non-college whites across MI, PA and WI who didn't vote. In 2016, Trump won those states by a combined 77,744 votes. — PolitiTweet.org

Trump's numbers significantly worsened when the George Floyd protests began. Federal intervention in Portland did n… https://t.co/XLkgDx95SW

Posted Aug. 26, 2020 Hibernated

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

P.S. some of the recent 2016-like polling we've been seeing in core battleground states (AZ/FL/MI/NC/PA/WI) is exactly why Biden been smart to resist temptation to divert ad $$ to "reach" states (GA/IA/OH/TX), while Trump's spending in the latter has been misguided. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 26, 2020 Hibernated

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

By my estimates, there were 1.2 million eligible college whites in MI/PA/WI who didn't vote in 2016, and 1.6 million eligible non-whites who didn't vote. In other words, Biden's untapped voter pool in those states (~2.8 million) is a lot smaller than Trump's (~4.8 million). — PolitiTweet.org

@Redistrict How many eligible nonwhites and college whites are there in swing states who didn't vote in 2016?

Posted Aug. 26, 2020 Hibernated