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Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict ↗

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Last Checked June 29, 2021

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Tue Aug 04 19:41:11 +0000 2020

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Basically, what's happening: in many red counties in FL/PA, thousands of registered Ds who voted Trump in '16 have officially switched to R or, ahem, exited the electorate. But on balance, *new* registrants have skewed much more D/unaffiliated than R. https://t.co/p2UwRU7cjL — PolitiTweet.org

Tom Bonier @tbonier

Start with PA, Dems have a 15 point advantage among those who have registered since Nov of 2016. https://t.co/DTgaZPY3NP

Posted Aug. 4, 2020 Hibernated

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

This @Axios story appears to take the Trump campaign's narrative at face value, failing to account for the difference between *net* registration change (which has long favored GOP in FL, PA, etc.) and *new* registrations (which favor Dems). https://t.co/Zkbm8mAMyX — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 4, 2020 Hibernated

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

None of this is to say that Dems don't have more room to fall in a lot of heavily "Trump Democrat" counties. They do. But the bottom line: we can't draw a lot of strong conclusions about 2020 based solely on party registration trends. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 4, 2020 Hibernated