Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict ↗

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Last Checked June 20, 2021

Created

Thu Jul 30 17:21:08 +0000 2020

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Imagine a hypothetical swing state where 42% of the vote is cast by mail and there's an extreme partisan gap between VBM (80% Biden) and in-person (70% Trump). Here's what an 8% VBM rejection rate could do (graphic credit @alflinn): https://t.co/cQOh61LiZS https://t.co/0TUj7xy1Ni — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 30, 2020 Hibernated

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The rejection rates for VBM in 2020 primaries have been many times higher than OR/WA/CO b/c of 1) ill-equipped and understaffed election offices struggling with floods of requests for mail ballots and 2) voters inexperienced w/ casting them. — PolitiTweet.org

@Redistrict We’ve been doing it for decades in Oregon and it always goes smoothly. I don’t understand the fear sur… https://t.co/IDtbCRx6kq

Posted July 30, 2020 Hibernated

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Now a few caveats: 1) I don't think the VBM/E-Day partisan gap will be *quite* this wide, though #NY27 came close 2) In-person early vote will mute this effect in many states 3) Dems will inevitably sue to validate more VBMs But you can see how this starts becoming meaningful. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 30, 2020 Hibernated