Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict ↗

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Last Checked June 9, 2021

Created

Sun Jul 26 21:25:30 +0000 2020

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2,169

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

100 days out, Trump basically needs some combo of the following... 1) shift voters' focus away from COVID 2) drive Biden's negatives way up 3) high absentee ballot rejection rates in key states 4) big advantage in Electoral College vs. popular vote ...or he's toast. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 26, 2020 Hibernated

Preceded By

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

If Trump were to recover to the point the EC/popular gap were to start mattering again (say, within 3-4% of Biden), it would likely be recovery w/ the kind of voters he won in ‘16 (older/non-college whites). — PolitiTweet.org

@Redistrict You are making the "Biden has a bigger EC disadvantage than Hillary" based off of demographics, ignorin… https://t.co/F5MaIJOrFu

Posted July 26, 2020 Hibernated

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

FWIW, I think #1 is the least likely, but #3 and #4 are quite plausible. Overall a comeback is unlikely, but far from impossible given that Trump only needs to move the needle 3-5% points nationally to get back within range of a win. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 26, 2020 Hibernated