Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict ↗

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Last Checked April 21, 2021

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Sat Jun 20 21:00:31 +0000 2020

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

In 2016, Trump did 2.9% better in the tipping point state (Wisconsin, +0.8%) than he did in the popular vote (-2.1%). Right now, Biden is ahead by 9% in the @RealClearNews national average, but by 4-6% in the four likeliest tipping point states (AZ, FL, PA, WI) - a larger gap. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 20, 2020 Hibernated

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

At the same time, people should appreciate there's not a huge distance between a Biden electoral landslide (where we are today) and a narrow Trump electoral win. If Biden were to ultimately win the popular vote 51%-47%, I wouldn't be able to guarantee he'd win the election. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 20, 2020 Hibernated

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

A big part of this could be that state polls are still sparse and haven't fully caught up w/ the recent expansion in Biden's national lead. But even before the primaries, there were reasons to believe the pro-Trump electoral bias has increased since 2016. https://t.co/IR6Ovxhwdu — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 20, 2020 Hibernated