Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict ↗

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Last Checked March 26, 2021

Created

Wed May 13 03:31:17 +0000 2020

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

If Mike Garcia (R)'s lead over Christy Smith (D) in #CA25 holds, and chances look pretty good it will, he'll become the only House Republican from a district Hillary Clinton won with more than 50% of the vote. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 13, 2020 Hibernated

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Right now, Smith (D) is only losing LA County by 5% less than she's losing Ventura. As @baseballot noted, Katie Hill (D)'s 2018 margin was 12% better in LA than Ventura. My hypothesis: high-income Ds in Ventura mailed '20 ballots back at higher rate than low-income Ds in LA. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 13, 2020 Hibernated

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

A key to Mike Garcia (R)'s probable win tonight: #CA25's high-propensity voters are longtime residents who skew older, white and R. #CA25's low-propensity voters are newcomers priced out of LA who skew younger, non-white and D. They showed up in '16/'18, but less so this time. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 13, 2020 Hibernated