Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 11, 2020

Created

Tue Nov 19 06:10:54 +0000 2019

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764

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Rep. Elise Stefanik (R) beat Tedra Cobb (D) 56%-42% in 2018, a terrific Dem year. And the voters who stayed home there in 2018? Overwhelmingly whites w/o college degrees, aka Trump’s base. There are 15-20 legitimately vulnerable R House seats. #NY21 isn’t remotely one of them. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 19, 2019 Hibernated

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

The political reality - as much as Dems wish this weren’t the case - is that #NY21 Rep. Elise Stefanik (R) is well-aligned with her North Country district, which twice voted for Obama before voting for Trump by *14%* in 2016. She’s not vulnerable in 2020. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 19, 2019 Hibernated

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

There were plenty of personally popular, moderate R House members who got crushed in 2018 b/c Trump was radioactive in their districts (see Orange Co. & North Jersey). Stefanik (R) crushed Cobb (D) by 14% (btw, Cobb spent $1.5m), mostly b/c #NY21 warmed to Trump before she did. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 19, 2019 Hibernated