Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 7, 2020

Created

Mon Sep 16 15:56:41 +0000 2019

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Much of the analysis I'm seeing on this site assumes there's no more room for Dems to fall w/ white non-college voters, who are simply a "lost cause." In fact, Dems have an awful lot more room to fall w/ them, and that's especially true in many of the most critical EC states. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 16, 2019 Hibernated

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Dems' path to beating Trump absolutely depends on retaining the gains they made in diverse, college-educated burbs - the kinds we saw in 2018 & #NC09. But even a slight drop among white non-college voters could negate all of it, given the demog's size & geographic distribution. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 16, 2019 Hibernated

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Moreover, the notion that voting behavior is polarized to the point that there aren't any swing/persuadable voters left isn't based in reality. Not only did we see above-average swings from '12 to '16, Dems wouldn't have gone +40 in '18 without converting lots of '16 R voters. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 16, 2019 Hibernated