Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 26, 2020

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Sat Jul 20 17:35:10 +0000 2019

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

It’s true that Obama enjoyed an EC bonus, esp. b/c he did an impressive job of defining Romney negatively early w/ swing state-targeted ads. It’s also true that slight shifts could convert a large Trump EC bonus into a modest Dem EC bonus, but prob only w/ a substantial Dem win. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 20, 2019 Hibernated

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

It’s a fair critique. The size of the gap b/t the nation and the “tipping point” depends on a lot of things we can’t know right now, foremost the identity of the D nominee. But demographic patterns suggest it’s widened since 2016, in Trump’s favor. — PolitiTweet.org

The reason is that I see this as being a fairly dynamic process. To be honest this is sort of my critique of the… https://t.co/7hxjA97Jf3

Posted July 20, 2019 Hibernated

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I suppose I’d just challenge @NateSilver538 to come up w/ any scenario in which the 2020 Dem loses the popular vote but wins the EC. Think it’s pretty damn hard to do. cc: @Nate_Cohn — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 20, 2019 Hibernated