Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 26, 2020

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Sat Jul 20 15:37:57 +0000 2019

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

One often-overlooked thing: if Dems were to flip MI & PA back but Trump were to hold onto AZ, FL, NC & WI, Omaha’s #NE02 (Trump +2 in ‘16) would be much likelier to get Dems to a 269-269 tie than #ME02 (Trump +10 in ‘16). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 20, 2019 Hibernated

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

If you were to tell me that AZ & WI were both essentially tied, that might line up pretty well w/ a scenario in which the Dem nominee is winning the popular vote by 4-5% nationally. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 20, 2019 Hibernated

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

It’s a fair critique. The size of the gap b/t the nation and the “tipping point” depends on a lot of things we can’t know right now, foremost the identity of the D nominee. But demographic patterns suggest it’s widened since 2016, in Trump’s favor. — PolitiTweet.org

The reason is that I see this as being a fairly dynamic process. To be honest this is sort of my critique of the… https://t.co/7hxjA97Jf3

Posted July 20, 2019 Hibernated