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Dave Wasserman

@Redistrict ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 26, 2020

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Fri Jul 19 18:54:32 +0000 2019

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

I might look at it the other way around: a net 2.7 million more eligible non-white voters in CA & TX (vs. no net white gain) would go a long way towards a 5 million vote gap - w/ shifting white patterns exacerbating that. Tough to quantify impact of each. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

For what it's worth, I'd subtly differ here. The conditions for a 5 million vote gap exist--right now--primarily du… https://t.co/07IOlFN5qY

Posted July 19, 2019 Hibernated

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

Why is AZ uniquely promising for Dems among Trump-won Sun Belt states? 1) very high suburban vs. rural vote ratio, esp. compared to FL/MI/PA/WI 2) third-fastest non-white growth, behind only NV/CA 3) young professionals moving to Phoenix/Tucson 4) Trump-skeptic LDS community https://t.co/hKZv1GDzvb — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 19, 2019 Hibernated

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Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

@Nate_Cohn Not disagreeing w/ that. But the shift since '16 you're describing based on polls at least theoretically takes into account some non-white growth. If white shifts alone could take it to 5 million, i suppose non-white growth patterns could take it to 6+ million. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 19, 2019 Hibernated