Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked March 25, 2019

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Fri Jun 23 17:53:04 +0000 2017

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I get that specials are hard, but it was clear early on that >250k was plausible; by end of e.v. it was likely. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 23, 2017 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I'm not concerned here w/whether turnout was responsible for polling error. I'm just surprised that the turnout ests were off by so much — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 23, 2017 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The est in the live model was 267k (246k when e.v. started). 260k was the result. This wasn't brilliance; it was hard to conclude 220k — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 23, 2017 Hibernated