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Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked March 25, 2019

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Wed Aug 31 19:18:20 +0000 2016

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Now, there are reasons it's more uncertain. Weaker fundamentals without inc. pres/approval; more undecided voters; the third party issue — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 31, 2016 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I think the key source of this is that the 2016 race has never been as *close* as 12. 538 prediction *peaked* at O+4.3 in Sept. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 31, 2016 Hibernated

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

But I think there's as much art as science here in figuring out how much more uncertain in C+5 in nowcast today than O+1.6 on 8/31/12 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 31, 2016 Hibernated