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Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked April 3, 2023

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Fri Mar 10 18:29:34 +0000 2023

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

lol I will continue to 'cast doubt' on our numbers, not because of whether they show results 'i want' but because polling is inherently imprecise, faces countless new challenges, and no one knows whether we're geniuses or morons until election night https://t.co/E7X9eopZQ8 — PolitiTweet.org

mac @macs_posts

@Nate_Cohn Pretty funny to brag about this after you ran and pushed stories casting doubt on the same polls when th… https://t.co/2KVFuCtZ3F

Posted March 10, 2023

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

By my count, the Times/Siena polling this cycle was the most accurate for any pollster with >10 polls in the FiveThirtyEight dataset going back to 1998. Pretty amazing given all of the challenges in polling today — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 10, 2023

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

that said, the old maxim that you should 'trust the average' over a single high-quality poll has gotten worse; going forward, there's an increasingly strong basis to give more weight to outlying NYT/Siena poll seriously than i would have said/thought before — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 10, 2023 Deleted Just a Typo