Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked April 3, 2023

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Wed Feb 22 00:56:19 +0000 2023

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The Democrats are putting up an impressive showing in VA-4, the first special congressional election of the cycle. By our estimates, the Democrat is on track to win by 45 points, compared to 30 points in '22 and 36 points in '20 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 22, 2023

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@davidshor @PoliticalKiwi @iabvek @spinons @BirdAppKJ @xenocryptsite @lxeagle17 @baseballot @Jamie_from_PI the local max for dem support controlling for race is in the low thirties at this point. when you were concerned about this 8 years ago it was ...8 years younger. the 18-20 year old drop-off is all differential registration, but the long term phenomenon is probably real — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 17, 2023

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Of note: nearly half of voters in this district are Black, and it's been a while since Democrats have overperformed in such a diverse district — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 22, 2023