Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked April 3, 2023

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Fri Feb 03 18:24:21 +0000 2023

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@nataliemj10 i guess that would depend on your subjective gradations, so idk where we disagree, but on my subjective gradiations the story is basically the same whether it's a categorical or continuous scale — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 3, 2023

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@nataliemj10 the central point of the article is that there is great variance among nonprob, not that they're all the same. that variance appears to be a function of their unifying trait -- no single sample frame --> crazy different samples -- which makes it appropriate to treat it together — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 3, 2023

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@nataliemj10 now, to your earlier thought -- yes, at the NYT it is *much* easier for me to apply an objective classification (prob/nonprb) with a very defensible analytical lens than for me (NYT) to declare polls good/bad subjectively and get into countless fights to defend it — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 3, 2023