Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked April 3, 2023

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Fri Feb 03 18:03:26 +0000 2023

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@nataliemj10 my vague read of the room is that pollsters are more pesmisitic than they were when i wrote this, which i think is still my basic position here https://t.co/2h6LU3CXyN — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 3, 2023

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@nataliemj10 i don't think it's misleading. almost everyone i talk to thinks there's real daylight between nonprob panels and online prob/phones. that's my independent read as well. i think what i wrote is consensus: nonprob can solid, but it's hard, can be terrible and it's hard to evaluate — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 3, 2023

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@nataliemj10 the central point of the article is that there is great variance among nonprob, not that they're all the same. that variance appears to be a function of their unifying trait -- no single sample frame --> crazy different samples -- which makes it appropriate to treat it together — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 3, 2023