Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked April 3, 2023

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Fri Feb 03 16:54:44 +0000 2023

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@nataliemj10 in the interim, i think it remains entirely true that probability polls by rigorous firms weighted by standard demographics = presumptively pretty decent, while the same cannot be said for the nonprob polls (which can be good with great effort or absolute trash) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 3, 2023

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@nataliemj10 if you have a better way to show 'good' v. 'bad' polls on a chart like this, other than my subjective characterizations (which would call, say, YouGov Good but might call Suffolk BAD), I'm all ears — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 3, 2023

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@nataliemj10 and unfortunately, i don't think we have anywhere near the level disclosure / understanding of best practices to be able to distinguish which nonprob polls are in which category -- which is part of why the spread in trump support has the potential to be so revelatory — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 3, 2023