Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked April 3, 2023

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Wed Jan 18 15:41:55 +0000 2023

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@aaronstrauss @MichaelPodhorz2 i do think national media discussion of crime (portland v. denver) could be the/a missing variable in the blue states where MAGA obviously wasn't at stake. but hard to model state effects on n=50 so i'm willing to accept an imperfect explanation — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 18, 2023

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@aaronstrauss @MichaelPodhorz2 i think there are very clear state effects downballot; i think they are loosely correlated with democracy/MAGA but it's not perfect (CO v. OR being an example) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 18, 2023

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@aaronstrauss @MichaelPodhorz2 yeah, absolutely. it's hard to turn this into a MAGA dummy. but clearly there were a series of competitive states where trump tried to overturn the last election and where MAGA types were running to do it for real, and dems did well in those states — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 18, 2023