Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked April 3, 2023

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Wed Dec 07 01:32:56 +0000 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

At this stage, the big question-mark is the Atlanta-area Election Day vote. Almost none of it has been counted. Walker will need it to be great -- especially given how he did in the Election Day vote (against our own priors, to be fair) elsewhere in the state — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 7, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Overall, he's running ahead of our estimates for the election day vote by 5 points (he slightly underperformed in the early vote). We got early vote first, and now the election day vote is starting to get meaty enough to take seriously (300 precincts) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 7, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Well folks, as many of you have gleaned, we've taken the needle down while we investigate some irregularities with our data. It wasn't necessarily biasing our estimates, but it was creating strange volatility... and it has been slow to fix and then hard to test and fix offline — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 7, 2022