Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked April 3, 2023

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Wed Dec 07 01:17:48 +0000 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The model's becoming a little more confident in Warnock, as he's continued to outperform our projections in the Election Day vote by a pretty modest margin — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 7, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

One risk for Warnock here: we have far fewer Election Day votes than early/absentee votes. So I'm more confident about Walker's slight overperformance than the other way around. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 7, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Overall, he's running ahead of our estimates for the election day vote by 5 points (he slightly underperformed in the early vote). We got early vote first, and now the election day vote is starting to get meaty enough to take seriously (300 precincts) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 7, 2022