Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked April 3, 2023

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Tue Dec 06 14:22:34 +0000 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The turnout may offer additional upside to Warnock. According to our estimates, Warnock would have won the '20 general electorate by 4 percentage points, and that wasn't a great Dem turnout either -- see runoff. He would have won '16 and '18 as well (and nearly '14) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 6, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I'll be honest, I think it's pretty hard to tell a story about why Walker wins this election. That's not to say it's impossible -- anything can happen. I think it would just be hard to explain how and why, given the candidates and the hard results last month — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 6, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Warnock also appears to have built a commanding lead in the advanced vote. He could be ahead by nearly 20 percentage points. Hard to reach much into that for a lot of reasons, but it's about as good for Democrats as they could have hoped at the outset — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 6, 2022