Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked April 3, 2023

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Fri Nov 18 21:28:08 +0000 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@SeanTrende @databyler yeah, i mean, the literature is still out there using unadjusted ANES and so on lol. anyway, i'm not trying to start a movement. but i do think it's unequivocally better to impute the uncontested races if it's a sensitive analysis, like PV-v-tipping point — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 18, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@databyler @SeanTrende i do think 2 is pretty plainly the right choice for any serious analytical purpose. we certainly did in '18. there were people touting dems winning the FL house popular vote based on uncontested seats! — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 18, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@SeanTrende @databyler i know you know this, but the differences are often pretty material! it probably does make a difference whether we should think of this as an R+2 or R+4 year for a lot of purposes — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 18, 2022