Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked March 30, 2023

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Mon Nov 14 02:39:11 +0000 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Anyway, I'm not making a race call here -- we almost always take AP calls. I'm just trying to explain what thinking probably looks like — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 14, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

One last way to put it. Imagine that, hypothetically, Lake got 65% of the vote tomorrow. What hard fact could I put forward to explain why I thought that was *impossible.* I don't think there is one. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 14, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

In any given election cycle, there are 100s or 1000s of tweets or poll questions that you could pick out as the 'smart' one after the fact. But I think this dynamic from our final Senate polls is really the key thing that makes sense of what happened https://t.co/wUSZ3AyrMn — PolitiTweet.org

To me, the most interesting dimension of the poll: Dems running an avg of 8 points ahead of Senate control preferen… https://t.co/BchCDoBMJY

Posted Nov. 14, 2022