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Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked March 24, 2023

Created

Mon Nov 14 02:09:22 +0000 2022

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22

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@JacobRubashkin i think we're in the hunt https://t.co/SHwSnsigfB — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 14, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

No projections in AZGOV, but make no mistake: Lake didn't get the tallies she wanted and probably needed out of Maricopa. It will presumably close further, but Lake doesn't have many batches left. Each time she falls short, her target in the outstanding vote gets higher. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 14, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

A projection means something very close to absolute certainty -- say, > 99.9% chance. There's a lot of room for something to be very likely (90%, 95%, even 99%!) and still not quite merit a race call. https://t.co/Ut6TsURVUQ — PolitiTweet.org

Keith Edwards @keithedwards

@Nate_Cohn Help me understand why you can’t project then lol

Posted Nov. 14, 2022

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