Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
If we take these trends seriously, then the Dem path looks something like this: Hold the 214 where they're ahead Flip CA13/AZ6 Flip CA22, which takes no stretch of the imaginable Flip... something else: luck in OR5/NY22? surge in long-shot CA27/CA45? maybe CA41 reverses? — PolitiTweet.org