Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 7, 2023

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Thu Nov 10 16:17:20 +0000 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Another challenge: the 'fundamentals' were quite Republican this cycle (and those fundamentals were confirmed in the polling, not just 'vibes'), which shaded analysis toward the GOP at basically every stage — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 10, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I do think there were some interesting challenges in this election, which maybe I'll write about: One challenge: the state-level variation in the results (FL/NY bad for Ds, v. PA/MI great, etc.) made it very hard to synthesize seemingly conflicting data. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 10, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

And finally, I think it would have been inappropriate to be overly confident in the traditional polling this cycle -- which was best for Dems -- given the absence of any real 'fix' post-2020. That kind of confidence wouldn't have been credible, even if it was appropriate. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 10, 2022