Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 3, 2023

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Wed Nov 09 05:32:13 +0000 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

At the beginning of a football game, a 5-13 team might have a 20% chance to beat a playoff team. But now they're down by 3 points with the ball with a meaningful amount of time left. Now just 30%! But like it doesn't take much more — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 9, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Our estimate is that the GOP has a 73% chance to win. That's not very different from the beginning of the night. But the nature of this chance is very different. Here's an analogy — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 9, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

(it's the 4th quarter in the second half of this analogy, btw) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 9, 2022