Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Dec. 5, 2022

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Sat Nov 05 17:04:25 +0000 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

It's worth emphasizing, again, that #1 may help the averages this year. But the idea that this is a game people should play and prove they're right... is stupid — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 5, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

The 'barrier to entry' is low, if you want data that's a combination of 1) broken clocks subject to darwinain electoral selection; 2) people overfitting to their own priors, since everyone knows you can't trust the underlying data — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 5, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

On a personal note, I personally wouldn't play it. If there's not a path to generating *good enough* data to allow for unbiased estimation controlling for stable and knowable characteristics, I'm out — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 5, 2022