Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 16, 2022

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Fri Oct 28 15:36:50 +0000 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@tbonier @NateSilver538 because my baseline isn't just the 2020 result. our reporting is that cartwright/davids are both modestly ahead. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 28, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@SpecialPuppy1 @NateSilver538 maybe +4. it's not my ex ante expectation but everyone seems to think cartwright is holding on — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 28, 2022

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Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

An additional layer--which @Redistrict may disagree w, DK--is that it does seem like, in general, the incumbents are holding up better than I would have guessed after '20 A lot of the D weakness is open seat https://t.co/OIYM7yTmyK — PolitiTweet.org

FWIW, I see the four NYT/Siena polls as consistent with our House ratings and forecast of a 12-25 seat GOP gain.… https://t.co/XvR0yXYdPR

Posted Oct. 28, 2022