Nate Cohn

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

@cwarshaw @baseballot @lxeagle17 @DrewLinzer @Civiqs @kabir_here @doug_rivers i guess i'll add one caveat -- i do think there's a good case for 538 to exclude Civiqs modeling, not on the groudns that it's MRP but because they appear to pool data over time (but @DrewLinzer can correct me on that). that is the kind of thing that 538 wants to handle itself — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Obviously, four districts can't say a ton about the battle for the House. But on balance, the polls are better for Democrats than I would have guessed given our national polling (yes, the methodology is identical), esp in KS-03 -- which feels like a possible outlier — PolitiTweet.org